Work Package II.1 - Uncertainty of Tier 1 models

Objectives

  • To summarize and compare the sources of model uncertainty for “exposure situations”. 
  • To suggest improvements to the models.

Description of work

In WPI.1 exposure scenarios common to the different model scopes and limitations will be identified.  In addition, in WPI.4 the exposure scenarios with a sufficient data basis for external validation will be identified.  In this work package, the overlap (interception) of both scenario pools will be the basis for summarising and comparing sources of model uncertainty.